When Gary Cahill joined Chelsea from Bolton Wanderers on January 16, 2011, many believed the club had acquired the perfect partner to play for years to come alongside John Terry in Chelsea’s centre of defence. Cahill, described by former Chelsea manager Andre Villas-Boas as having “immense technical attributes and fantastic pace as well”, had been the Bolton captain and was even beginning to move up the pecking order for the English national team.
However, David Luiz had already been brought in from Benfica a year earlier. Would John Terry be retiring at the end of the season? Had Branislav Ivanvoic or Ashley Cole fallen out of favor, so much that Chelsea would be employing one of their three centre backs in a wide position? The short answer to these questions is no.
While Luiz has featured 28 times in the league for his new club, Cahill’s appearances have been limited mostly to cup games. With Terry facing 2 more games out after being found guilty of racially abusing Queens Park Rangers defender Anton Ferdinand, the newly formed partnership of Cahill and Luiz will remain intact for the time being. Following that however, it is widely expected that Terry will regain his starting role, sending Cahill back to the bench.
Although Chelsea has probably exceeded even the most optimistic fan’s expectations this season, there is a case for sending Luiz, and not Cahill, to the bench when Terry returns. And so, this article takes a look at that position and compares the stats of David Luiz and Gary Cahill in their time together at Chelsea.
Overview
The chart shows that Luiz has played nearly twice as often as Cahill, both in terms of appearances and total minutes. Not surprisingly, both players have only been used twice as substitutes, because defenders almost always play the whole game.
Defending
The above graphic highlights that Cahill is 15% more effective (66% versus 51%) in terms of winning ground 50-50 balls. However, it should be noted that while Luiz has played nearly double the minutes of Cahill, he has been involved in nearly six times more ground 50-50 situations (173 to 35). In terms of aerial 50-50 balls, Cahill wins the ball 70% of the time, with Luiz winning them on only 58.5% of occasions. The pair is nearly identical in terms of tackling success. Luiz holds a slight edge at 87% to Cahill’s 86%. Luiz has about four times more interceptions than Cahill, while also being dribbled past five times more often. Amazingly, Cahill has not made a defensive error in his time on the pitch with Chelsea (a stretch of more than 14.5 full games), while Luiz has committed two such errors. Loss of possession statistics show that Luiz loses the ball about once per game (every 88 minutes), while Cahill goes 328.5 minutes on average without losing possession.
Passing and Goal Attempts
The passing and goal attempts chart shows that Cahill is 5% more accurate (88% to 83%) with his passes than Luiz. Cahill has also contributed 3 goals to Luiz’s 2; an astonishing statistic considering the large disparity in minutes played. Cahill has only taken 10 shots to score his goals, while Luiz has taken 18. This gives the players chance conversion rates of 30% and 11%, respectively.
Verdict
While there is no questioning John Terry’s place as captain and leader of The Blues, what’s certainly up for debate is who should be his partner in the centre of Chelsea’s defence. As mentioned, David Luiz appears to have a stranglehold on that position. However, this decision appears to be without merit. Gary Cahill is significantly more effective in nearly all defensive aspects of the game, winning 50-50 balls on both the ground and in the air at a greater rate than Luiz (15% more on the ground, 11.5% more in the air), while being dribbled past much less frequently. Additionally, Cahill loses possession less often and makes fewer defensive mistakes than Luiz. Although Luiz intercepts the ball more frequently, this is likely due to his over aggression; the same aggression that plays a large role in his ineffectiveness in other defensive areas. Moreover, Gary Cahill is a more accurate passer, completing an astonishing 88% of them, while also contributing more goals and converting a higher percentage of his chances than Luiz.
Roberto Di Matteo should be praised for the job he’s done at Chelsea. He won the Champions League last year and currently sits atop the standings in the Barclay’s Premier League. This is a testament to the fantastic players he’s brought in and putting those players in the proper position to succeed. However, in the case of David Luiz and Gary Cahill, he’s made a mistake; a mistake that he will likely never have to address should Chelsea continue their success.
All of the stats from this article have been taken from the Opta Stats Centre at EPLIndex.com – Subscribe Now (Includes author privileges!) Check out our new Top Stats feature on the Stats Centre which allows you to compare all players in the league & read about new additions to the stats centre.
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Categories: Chelsea, EPL Index Featured Article, EPL Index Statistical Comparisons
Tags: Cahill Opta Stats, Cahill stats, CFC, CFC Stats, David Luiz, EPL, epl opta stats, EPL Stats, Gary Cahill, Luiz Opta Stats, Luiz Stats, Opta Stats, premier league, Premier League Stats
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I would like to point out that you have made an error with regards to when Gary Cahill joined Chelsea. He joined a whole year after you claim he did meaning that David Luiz has been at Chelsea longer and therefore that is the reason why he is picked in front of Gary Cahill. Gary Cahill was brought in by Andre Villas-Boas to replace the outgoing Alex. David Luiz has played a total of 40 times in the league with Chelsea and scored 2 more goals. You have missed half a season and also forget to realise that Luiz is the ball playing defender while Gary Cahill is the last man that covers.
Thank you for the correction. As you can see, it’s now corrected in the article. The website I use for my player information had the date Cahill joined listed wrong and at the time I didn’t notice the error. I’ll be sure to double check things like that in the future. As for the stats, they’re all correct. As this is an English Premier League statistical website, I only have access to Premier League stats(not including cup games or champions league) and Luiz has scored twice in the league and Cahill 3 times. As for the other correction, the point I was trying to make is that Cahill should be playing instead of Luiz alongside Terry, regardless of their specific roles. While you may be on to something, I write here from a statistical point of view and clearly Cahill’s statistics are superior. Cheers.
Good article! Although the conclusion was obvious to everyone watching the Chelsea defenders, it’s good to have stats to back it up!
Just a grammatical notion: “The above graphic highlights that Cahill is 15% more effective (66% versus 51%)…” Maybe you could refer to (percentage) ‘points’ in those kinds of situations, since “15% more” is totally different from “15 points more”.
(66%/51% = 1,294 so technically Cahill is almost 30% more effective in that sense.)
Thank you for the comment and suggestion. Is it really that obvious to everyone with Luiz? Why do you think he plays then? I only thought to write this piece because it seems every time I see Chelsea play, Luiz is less than impressive, while Cahill impresses me in champions league. As for the correction, I definitely should have worded that as percentage points. I put it this way because I know that if I wrote “Cahill is 30% more effective” and the chart showed 66% versus 51% then lots of people would be confused/say “no it’s actually 15%” and I would have to explain. Your suggestion is spot on though, and would have avoided both problems altogether. Cheers mate!
Well, personally I think Luiz is just not tactically sound center back. He tries to be flashy too often and then makes big mistakes. Maybe he looked better in the portugese league or maybe Abramovic (or whoever) just “had to” have him (like Torres) even though he didn’t really fit the plan. And now they have to play him, because he is so expensive? I don’t know. Surely he can do the job most times when called upon, but maybe Cahill & Terry are the best pair for Chelsea. I’ve thought that Luiz would be good with the ball, but those passing percentages tell different. Although it doesn’t say how many passes were long, incase Luiz tries more of those? As a Liverpool fan, I’m hoping David Luiz is playing next Sunday.
As you are looking at who partner John Terry at the back, you should look at their performance in matches they have partnered John Terry. I sort of didn’t elaborate on my point about Luiz being the ‘ball playing defender’. I have noticed when Cahill And Luiz played together such as against Man Utd, Luiz seems to take over the passing duties over from John Terry. He also plays a lot more long balls and more adventurous passes, that may not be wise but it would be nice to see a comparison of them playing besides John Terry if that is possible.
if you torture the numbers enough they’ll tell you anything you want… The stats don’t show how easily every decent striker loses him. Giroud, Defoe, even freaking Guerrero (Corinthians) beat him a couple of times with quick movement.
Cahill uses a lot of last-ditch tackles because he cannot do anything else. He’s better suited for old counter-attacking chelsea.
I watch Cahill play very often as I support Chelsea. Cahill is a squad player for Chelsea and nowhere good enough to start for England.
And I agree with the above poster: Luiz works fantastic pairing Terry… numbers don’t lie…